Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 19:00
11.6856.4%
X4.1023.1%
24.6220.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
WWLLDWDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Waalwijk
LDDLLDWLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
2.00
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
8.10
10.50
Total
12.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
2.00
4.30
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.60goals per match
Waalwijk conceded2.00
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

1.40goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.80
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
8.10
10.50
Match total
12.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
2.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.50
Match total
18.70

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.70
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%58.1%+1.7 pp
Draw23.1%25.6%+2.5 pp
Away20.5%16.3%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS63.1%

Historical average

2.101.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-110.3%
2-09.9%
2-27.4%
3-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.234.25
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.3%38.2%–69.5% CI
Draw FT37.1%23.2%–53.7% CI
Away FT8.6%3.0%–22.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.97

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals62.9%
3+ goals31.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%