Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 15:45
11.2476.1%
X6.2315.1%
210.718.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWWDWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
NAC Breda
LWLDWLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.50
Against
6.70
8.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
NAC Breda conceded1.80
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

1.00goals per match
Ajax conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.50
Corners against
6.70
8.30
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.90
Match total
18.60

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.50
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.1%76.8%+0.8 pp
Draw15.1%16.5%+1.3 pp
Away8.8%6.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

2.480.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
2-011.0%
1-19.8%
4-09.8%
3-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.253.04
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.533.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%49.6%–80.2% CI
Draw FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI
Away FT9.1%3.1%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.9%
Away45.5%