Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 13:30
12.0446.2%
X3.5026.9%
23.5026.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
DDLLLLDWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Nijmegen
LLWLLWLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.20goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.50Matchup
Nijmegen attack
0.70goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
18.70
Match total
21.60
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches562
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%45.2%-1.0 pp
Draw26.9%29.0%+2.1 pp
Away26.9%25.8%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.48–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
2-110.5%
1-010.1%
2-08.5%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.56
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.5%31.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT36.5%30.0%–43.5% CI
Away FT26.0%20.3%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away49.0%