Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 13:30
12.0446.2%
X3.5026.9%
23.5026.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
DDLLLLDWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Nijmegen
LLWLLWLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.20goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.50
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

0.70goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
11.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
18.70
Match total
21.60

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches562
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%45.2%-1.0 pp
Draw26.9%29.0%+2.1 pp
Away26.9%25.8%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.481.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-110.5%
1-010.1%
2-08.5%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.56
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.5%31.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT36.5%30.0%–43.5% CI
Away FT26.0%20.3%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away49.0%