Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:30
12.4139.1%
X3.5426.6%
22.7434.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
LDLWWWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Feyenoord
DWWWWLDLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.30
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
7.50N=10
2.80
Against
3.40
9.20
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.40goals per matchFeyenoord conceded1.30Matchup
Feyenoord attack
2.30goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.40
9.20
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.30
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
7.90N=10
20.00
Match total
18.90
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
4.80
On target
6.80
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches253
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%39.1%+0.1 pp
Draw26.6%29.6%+3.1 pp
Away34.4%31.2%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS62.8%
Historical average
1.46–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
2-112.3%
1-29.1%
1-08.7%
2-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.76
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=253.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%28.1%–51.9% CI
Draw FT39.3%28.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT21.3%12.9%–33.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.9%
Away47.5%