Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-04 · 19:00
11.4565.4%
X4.4421.3%
27.1313.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
DWWDWLDDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Willem II
WLWLWLLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.70
Against
7.50
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.50goals per match
Willem II conceded1.80
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.70goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.50
10.20
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.50
Match total
19.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%69.9%+4.5 pp
Draw21.3%17.9%-3.5 pp
Away13.3%12.2%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS40.8%

Historical average

2.030.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.8%
1-013.8%
2-111.2%
3-07.7%
1-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.33
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.1%47.0%–70.1% CI
Draw FT22.7%14.3%–34.2% CI
Away FT18.2%10.7%–29.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals51.5%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.2%
Away33.3%