Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 20:00
13.3328.3%
X3.4727.2%
22.1244.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
DWWLLDWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WLLWWDDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.60
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.60
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.40goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.50goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
23.80
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.70
On target
4.40
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches420
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%25.5%-2.8 pp
Draw27.2%30.0%+2.8 pp
Away44.5%44.5%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.131.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-29.8%
0-19.3%
0-28.6%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.09
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=420.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.3%14.2%–28.3% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.1%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.2%30.1%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals50.4%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away62.6%