Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 20:00
13.3328.3%
X3.4727.2%
22.1244.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
DWWLLDWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WLLWWDDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.60
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.60
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.40goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.50goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
23.80
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.70
On target
4.40
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches420
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%25.5%-2.8 pp
Draw27.2%30.0%+2.8 pp
Away44.5%44.5%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.13–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
1-29.8%
0-19.3%
0-28.6%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–5.09
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=420.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.3%14.2%–28.3% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.1%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.2%30.1%–47.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals50.4%
3+ goals22.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.7%
Away62.6%