Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 17:45
12.2142.6%
X3.2928.6%
23.2728.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LDLDLWDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Almere City
DLLLLDWDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.90
Against
6.40
9.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Almere City conceded1.60
Matchup

Almere City attack

0.60goals per match
Willem II conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.40
9.60
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.00
Match total
19.20

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.40
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%42.0%-0.6 pp
Draw28.6%32.7%+4.1 pp
Away28.8%25.4%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.351.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-011.7%
0-09.4%
2-19.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.32
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches410
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.7%29.3%–38.4% CI
Draw FT42.2%37.5%–47.0% CI
Away FT24.1%20.3%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals12.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away44.6%