Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 15:45
11.7254.6%
X3.7425.1%
24.6220.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWLLWWDDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.40
Against
5.00
8.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.40goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.20
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.60goals per match
Ajax conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.00
8.40
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.30
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.90
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.80
On target
4.90
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches703
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%56.8%+2.2 pp
Draw25.1%24.8%-0.3 pp
Away20.3%18.5%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.710.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.4%
1-013.1%
1-111.2%
2-010.0%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.98
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=703.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches209
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.5%38.8%–52.2% CI
Draw FT36.8%30.6%–43.6% CI
Away FT17.7%13.1%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away39.2%