Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 20:00
11.7952.8%
X3.6326.1%
24.4821.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WDWWDWLDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Heracles
WLLLLLWDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.40
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.60goals per match
Heracles conceded2.30
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.80goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.40
10.30
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.10
Match total
2.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
20.20
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches252
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%58.7%+5.9 pp
Draw26.1%23.4%-2.6 pp
Away21.1%17.9%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.831.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
2-011.5%
1-011.5%
1-111.1%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.154.12
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=252.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%34.6%–59.1% CI
Draw FT36.7%25.6%–49.3% CI
Away FT16.7%9.3%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away45.0%