Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:30
11.7853.1%
X3.8624.5%
24.2222.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
WWLWLDLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Nijmegen
LLLWLLWLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
6.60
10.00
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
3.50
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.50goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.70
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

0.60goals per match
Utrecht conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.60
10.00
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.60
Match total
21.00

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches302
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%60.3%+7.2 pp
Draw24.5%23.8%-0.6 pp
Away22.4%15.9%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

2.011.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
2-111.6%
2-010.3%
1-08.6%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.054.24
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=302.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%44.8%–67.3% CI
Draw FT28.2%19.0%–39.5% CI
Away FT15.5%8.9%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.1%
2+ goals66.2%
3+ goals33.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.5%
Away47.9%