Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:30
11.7853.1%
X3.8624.5%
24.2222.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
WWLWLDLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Nijmegen
LLLWLLWLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
6.60
10.00
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
3.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
1.50goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.70Matchup
Nijmegen attack
0.60goals per matchUtrecht conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.60
10.00
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.60
Match total
21.00
Shots
17.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches302
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%60.3%+7.2 pp
Draw24.5%23.8%-0.6 pp
Away22.4%15.9%-6.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS61.9%
Historical average
2.01–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
2-111.6%
2-010.3%
1-08.6%
2-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–4.24
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=302.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%44.8%–67.3% CI
Draw FT28.2%19.0%–39.5% CI
Away FT15.5%8.9%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.1%
2+ goals66.2%
3+ goals33.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.5%
Away47.9%