Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 11:15
13.8924.3%
X3.4727.2%
21.9548.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
WLDLDLWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Utrecht
WWWWDWWDDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.20
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.80
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.20goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.30
Matchup

Utrecht attack

2.20goals per match
Willem II conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.10
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
17.50
Match total
20.10

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.30
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches419
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%22.0%-2.3 pp
Draw27.2%23.9%-3.4 pp
Away48.5%54.2%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

0.981.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.7%
0-111.7%
1-110.3%
0-29.5%
1-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.45
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%17.3%–32.7% CI
Draw FT34.5%26.5%–43.5% CI
Away FT41.4%32.8%–50.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.1%
Away53.4%