Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 11:15
13.8924.3%
X3.4727.2%
21.9548.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Willem II
WLDLDLWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Utrecht
WWWWDWWDDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.20
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.80
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Willem II attack
1.20goals per matchUtrecht conceded1.30Matchup
Utrecht attack
2.20goals per matchWillem II conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.10
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
17.50
Match total
20.10
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.30
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches419
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%22.0%-2.3 pp
Draw27.2%23.9%-3.4 pp
Away48.5%54.2%+5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
0.98–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.7%
0-111.7%
1-110.3%
0-29.5%
1-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–5.45
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%17.3%–32.7% CI
Draw FT34.5%26.5%–43.5% CI
Away FT41.4%32.8%–50.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.1%
Away53.4%