Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
15.0018.9%
X4.5620.7%
21.5660.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
WDLLDLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Ajax
WWWWLLDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.30
1.70
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.30
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
4.20
10.30
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.30
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.70
Total goals
4.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.00goals per match
Ajax conceded2.20
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.20
10.30
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.90
Match total
2.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
23.50
Match total
17.40

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.00
On target
6.70
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%30.8%+11.9 pp
Draw20.7%15.4%-5.3 pp
Away60.5%53.8%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.592.3%
Over 3.576.9%
BTTS84.6%

Historical average

1.542.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-323.1%
2-215.4%
2-115.4%
0-67.7%
2-37.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.315.54
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Away FT73.7%51.2%–88.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals42.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away84.2%