Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
11.9747.8%
X3.7824.9%
23.4527.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
LDLLWDDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Heerenveen
WLDLDWLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.50
Against
5.80
11.50
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.60goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.50
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.60goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.80
11.50
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.90
Match total
2.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.10
Match total
19.20

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
6.50
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.8%44.6%-3.2 pp
Draw24.9%30.1%+5.2 pp
Away27.3%25.3%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

1.701.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-010.8%
2-19.6%
2-29.6%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.34
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.3%
Away36.4%