Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
11.9747.8%
X3.7824.9%
23.4527.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LDLLWDDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Heerenveen
WLDLDWLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.50
Against
5.80
11.50
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.60goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.50Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.60goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.80
11.50
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.90
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.10
Match total
19.20
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
6.50
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.8%44.6%-3.2 pp
Draw24.9%30.1%+5.2 pp
Away27.3%25.3%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS62.7%
Historical average
1.70–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-010.8%
2-19.6%
2-29.6%
1-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.95–4.34
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.537.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.3%
Away36.4%