Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
11.1979.0%
X7.5012.5%
211.068.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Waalwijk
LDLLLLDLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.90
Against
8.70
10.80
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.70
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
3.10goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.80Matchup
Waalwijk attack
1.20goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
8.70
10.80
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
6.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
15.70
Match total
20.50
Shots
23.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
9.10
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.0%75.0%-4.0 pp
Draw12.5%16.7%+4.1 pp
Away8.5%8.3%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
2.92–0.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-125.0%
1-116.7%
5-016.7%
4-016.7%
5-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.33–2.83
Average total11.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.558.3%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away28.6%