Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
12.4638.3%
X3.6026.2%
22.6635.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LLDLWDWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
For Sittard
LLDWLWDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
2.10
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.50
Against
5.10
11.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
2.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.50goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.20
Matchup

For Sittard attack

0.70goals per match
Heracles conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.10
11.70
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.70
Match total
2.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
19.50
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.10
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%43.8%+5.5 pp
Draw26.2%22.3%-3.9 pp
Away35.5%33.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.543.0%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

1.711.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
3-28.3%
0-18.3%
1-27.4%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.045.16
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.538.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away57.1%