Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
11.2475.8%
X6.8013.8%
29.0610.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Feyenoord
LWDDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Excelsior
DLLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
3.10
70%
Over 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.30
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

10.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.10
Against
6.10
12.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
3.10
3.40
Total goals
4.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.70goals per match
Excelsior conceded3.10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.30goals per match
Feyenoord conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
10.60N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
2.10
Corners against
6.10
12.70
Match total
8.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

7.30N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
15.50
Match total
15.90

Shots

25.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
8.90
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%70.0%-5.8 pp
Draw13.8%20.0%+6.2 pp
Away10.4%10.0%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

2.601.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
4-010.0%
3-15.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.753.90
Average total11.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.570.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away42.1%