Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
11.2475.8%
X6.8013.8%
29.0610.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Feyenoord
LWDDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Excelsior
DLLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
3.10
70%
Over 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
2.30
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
10.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.10
Against
6.10
12.70
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
3.10
3.40
Total goals
4.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Feyenoord attack
2.70goals per matchExcelsior conceded3.10Matchup
Excelsior attack
1.30goals per matchFeyenoord conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
10.60N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
2.10
Corners against
6.10
12.70
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.30N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
15.50
Match total
15.90
Shots
25.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
8.90
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%70.0%-5.8 pp
Draw13.8%20.0%+6.2 pp
Away10.4%10.0%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS65.0%
Historical average
2.60–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.0%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
4-010.0%
3-15.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.75–3.90
Average total11.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.585.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.570.0%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.4%
Away42.1%