Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
11.4365.8%
X4.8619.4%
26.3414.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
LWLDLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Utrecht
WWDDWLDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
5.90
9.70
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.00goals per matchUtrecht conceded1.30Matchup
Utrecht attack
1.40goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.90
9.70
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.60
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.40
Match total
19.30
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.8%66.0%+0.2 pp
Draw19.4%23.4%+4.0 pp
Away14.8%10.6%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
2.31–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
2-09.2%
1-19.2%
3-08.5%
1-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.23–3.73
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Draw FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.0%
Away24.0%