Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
13.1230.2%
X3.6425.9%
22.1444.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almere City
LWDWDLDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Nijmegen
WDDLDWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Almere City attack

1.20goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.30
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.10goals per match
Almere City conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
10.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
24.00
Match total
19.20

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.40
On target
6.30
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%32.0%+1.9 pp
Draw25.9%26.0%+0.1 pp
Away44.0%42.0%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS60.1%

Historical average

1.361.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.0%
1-28.9%
2-18.2%
0-07.8%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.98
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.9%20.0%–40.0% CI
Draw FT39.5%29.2%–50.7% CI
Away FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals46.1%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away52.6%