Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 13:30
13.1230.2%
X3.6425.9%
22.1444.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almere City
LWDWDLDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Nijmegen
WDDLDWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almere City attack
1.20goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.30Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.10goals per matchAlmere City conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
10.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
24.00
Match total
19.20
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.40
On target
6.30
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%32.0%+1.9 pp
Draw25.9%26.0%+0.1 pp
Away44.0%42.0%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS60.1%
Historical average
1.36–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.0%
1-28.9%
2-18.2%
0-07.8%
1-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–4.98
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.9%20.0%–40.0% CI
Draw FT39.5%29.2%–50.7% CI
Away FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals46.1%
3+ goals22.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.7%
Away52.6%