Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
11.7354.6%
X3.9923.7%
24.3521.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
DDDWWWWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
WLWDLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.70
Against
5.90
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
2.10goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.60Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.50goals per matchUtrecht conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.90
10.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.40
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
7.30N=10
20.90
Match total
18.10
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%59.0%+4.4 pp
Draw23.7%26.7%+3.0 pp
Away21.7%14.3%-7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS62.2%
Historical average
1.93–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.7%
1-113.4%
2-012.1%
2-28.5%
1-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.93–4.00
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%38.6%–61.4% CI
Draw FT37.1%26.8%–48.9% CI
Away FT12.9%6.9%–22.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals27.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.3%
Away45.7%