Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
15.2917.8%
X4.6620.2%
21.5262.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
DLWWWWWWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Feyenoord
WWWWWDWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.10
Against
4.00
10.90
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
1.90goals per matchFeyenoord conceded0.80Matchup
Feyenoord attack
2.20goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.00
10.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.00N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.00
Match total
21.50
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
6.40
On target
6.10
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%15.0%-2.8 pp
Draw20.2%22.5%+2.3 pp
Away62.0%62.5%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.93–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.0%
0-315.0%
1-112.5%
0-27.5%
1-35.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.67–5.90
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.522.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away73.3%