Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
11.4664.6%
X4.8319.5%
25.9615.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
WLDWLWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Vitesse
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.60
2.50
Conceded
3.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
6.30
10.30
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
2.50
Goals conceded
3.00
4.30
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.80goals per matchVitesse conceded3.00Matchup
Vitesse attack
0.60goals per matchHeerenveen conceded2.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.30
10.30
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.00
Match total
20.60
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%70.2%+5.5 pp
Draw19.5%21.1%+1.5 pp
Away15.8%8.8%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.545.6%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
2.46–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.3%
3-110.5%
3-08.8%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–3.86
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away36.4%