Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
11.4664.6%
X4.8319.5%
25.9615.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WLDWLWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Vitesse
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
2.50
Conceded
3.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
6.30
10.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
2.50
Goals conceded
3.00
4.30
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.80goals per match
Vitesse conceded3.00
Matchup

Vitesse attack

0.60goals per match
Heerenveen conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.30
10.30
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.00
Match total
20.60

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%70.2%+5.5 pp
Draw19.5%21.1%+1.5 pp
Away15.8%8.8%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.545.6%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

2.460.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
3-110.5%
3-08.8%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.86
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away36.4%