Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
14.1222.9%
X3.8524.5%
21.7952.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Go Ahead Eagles
LLLDDWLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
DLDDWDWLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.90
Against
4.30
11.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Go Ahead Eagles attack

1.20goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.70
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.50goals per match
Go Ahead Eagles conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.30
11.60
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.20
Match total
20.40

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
6.50
On target
4.90
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%24.3%+1.4 pp
Draw24.5%19.9%-4.6 pp
Away52.6%55.9%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

1.181.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.0%
1-111.0%
0-17.4%
2-16.6%
0-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.315.68
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%13.0%–39.2% CI
Draw FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away63.2%