Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
19.739.7%
X6.1015.5%
21.2674.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
For Sittard
WWLDLWWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWDDWWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
3.20
1.30
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.80
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
3.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
For Sittard attack
1.70goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.80Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
3.20goals per matchFor Sittard conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
7.50N=10
19.70
Match total
16.90
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
21.20N=10
6.40
On target
8.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.7%11.4%+1.7 pp
Draw15.5%15.9%+0.4 pp
Away74.8%72.7%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.14–2.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-215.9%
1-211.4%
0-511.4%
1-16.8%
0-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.16–6.20
Average total9.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away91.7%