Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
19.739.7%
X6.1015.5%
21.2674.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
WWLDLWWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWDDWWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
3.20
1.30
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.80
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
3.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.70goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.80
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

3.20goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
7.50N=10
19.70
Match total
16.90

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
21.20N=10
6.40
On target
8.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.7%11.4%+1.7 pp
Draw15.5%15.9%+0.4 pp
Away74.8%72.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.142.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-215.9%
1-211.4%
0-511.4%
1-16.8%
0-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.166.20
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away91.7%