Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
11.8950.0%
X3.9523.9%
23.6226.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LDWDLLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Heracles
WLWLLLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.10
Against
8.20
10.80
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.30goals per match
Heracles conceded1.70
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.10goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
8.20
10.80
Match total
12.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.30
Match total
3.30
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
14.60
Match total
20.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.90
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%51.7%+1.7 pp
Draw23.9%31.0%+7.1 pp
Away26.1%17.2%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS75.9%

Historical average

2.121.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
2-010.3%
3-28.6%
2-28.6%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.57
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.6%
Over 9.567.2%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away50.0%