Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
11.2376.9%
X6.4114.8%
211.298.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
WDWDDWDDWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Almere City
LLWLWDDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
7.90
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
2.00goals per matchAlmere City conceded1.60Matchup
Almere City attack
0.80goals per matchAjax conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
7.90
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
6.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
17.50
Match total
23.00
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.80
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.9%71.6%-5.3 pp
Draw14.8%18.2%+3.4 pp
Away8.4%10.2%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
2.44–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.4%
2-110.2%
1-110.2%
3-010.2%
4-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.73–2.84
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.2%
Away38.9%