Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:30
11.2376.9%
X6.4114.8%
211.298.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WDWDDWDDWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Almere City
LLWLWDDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
7.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.00goals per match
Almere City conceded1.60
Matchup

Almere City attack

0.80goals per match
Ajax conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
7.90
Match total
9.50
20%2/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.40
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

6.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
17.50
Match total
23.00

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.80
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.9%71.6%-5.3 pp
Draw14.8%18.2%+3.4 pp
Away8.4%10.2%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

2.440.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.4%
2-110.2%
1-110.2%
3-010.2%
4-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.732.84
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away38.9%