Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 13:30
17.1413.2%
X5.8916.0%
21.3370.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Volendam
LLLLLLLLDW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Ajax
DWWWWLLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.10
3.10
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
2.40
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.10
3.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.80
Total goals
4.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Volendam attack

0.70goals per match
Ajax conceded2.30
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.10goals per match
Volendam conceded3.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.40
2.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
17.40
Match total
18.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.10
On target
6.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.2%33.3%+20.1 pp
Draw16.0%8.3%-7.7 pp
Away70.8%58.3%-12.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.252.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-225.0%
3-216.7%
0-416.7%
1-016.7%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.506.58
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away69.2%