Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 13:30
17.1413.2%
X5.8916.0%
21.3370.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Volendam
LLLLLLLLDW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Ajax
DWWWWLLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
2.10
3.10
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
2.40
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.10
3.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.80
Total goals
4.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Volendam attack
0.70goals per matchAjax conceded2.30Matchup
Ajax attack
2.10goals per matchVolendam conceded3.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.40
2.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
17.40
Match total
18.10
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.10
On target
6.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.2%33.3%+20.1 pp
Draw16.0%8.3%-7.7 pp
Away70.8%58.3%-12.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.25–2.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-225.0%
3-216.7%
0-416.7%
1-016.7%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.50–6.58
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.85
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away69.2%