Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 13:30
11.3569.8%
X5.2118.1%
27.7912.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
DDDDWWWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Vitesse
LLLLLLWLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
3.40
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.20
Against
6.30
10.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
3.40
3.10
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

2.20goals per match
Vitesse conceded3.40
Matchup

Vitesse attack

0.70goals per match
Utrecht conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.30
10.50
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.10
Match total
19.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.80
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches165
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%70.9%+1.1 pp
Draw18.1%20.0%+1.9 pp
Away12.1%9.1%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

2.380.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-013.9%
2-111.5%
2-010.3%
1-08.5%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.24
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=165.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.5%42.2%–71.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Away FT5.0%1.4%–16.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.5%
Away30.0%