Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 11:15
11.1284.3%
X9.1310.3%
217.545.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
WWLWDLLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

3.20
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.00
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.80
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

3.20goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.30
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.70goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.10
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

6.70N=10
Committed
7.40N=10
15.70
Match total
17.80

Shots

24.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
9.30
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.3%89.3%+5.0 pp
Draw10.3%8.9%-1.4 pp
Away5.4%1.8%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.553.6%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

2.930.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.9%
3-114.3%
4-010.7%
1-08.9%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

8.552.59
Average total11.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.567.9%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.541.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT100.0%79.6%–100.0% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals53.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away33.3%