Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 11:15
11.1284.3%
X9.1310.3%
217.545.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
WWLWDLLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.00
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
3.20goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.30Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.70goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.10
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
6.70N=10
Committed
7.40N=10
15.70
Match total
17.80
Shots
24.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
9.30
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.3%89.3%+5.0 pp
Draw10.3%8.9%-1.4 pp
Away5.4%1.8%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.553.6%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
2.93–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-017.9%
3-114.3%
4-010.7%
1-08.9%
3-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
8.55–2.59
Average total11.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.567.9%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.541.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT100.0%79.6%–100.0% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals53.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away33.3%