Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 11:15
12.2641.7%
X3.6625.7%
22.8932.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LLLDLWDWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Waalwijk
WLDLLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
2.20
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.30
Against
8.80
11.20
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.50goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.90
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

0.90goals per match
Heracles conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.30
Corners against
8.80
11.20
Match total
13.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.60
Match total
2.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.90
Match total
20.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%40.3%-1.4 pp
Draw25.7%25.4%-0.3 pp
Away32.6%34.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.538.6%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.591.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.7%
0-09.3%
1-18.5%
1-08.1%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.92
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=235.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.7%28.9%–51.6% CI
Draw FT42.6%31.6%–54.5% CI
Away FT17.6%10.4%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away36.8%