Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 19:00
12.7734.2%
X3.4827.2%
22.4538.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almere City
DLWDWDLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Heerenveen
LWLDLDWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.80
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Almere City attack

1.30goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.80
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.60goals per match
Almere City conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.20
Match total
19.00

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches321
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%32.7%-1.5 pp
Draw27.2%31.2%+4.0 pp
Away38.6%36.1%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.351.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
0-010.0%
0-18.1%
1-27.2%
0-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.17
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.3%17.7%–34.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%36.0%–55.2% CI
Away FT29.3%21.2%–38.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away47.5%