Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 19:00
12.7734.2%
X3.4827.2%
22.4538.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almere City
DLWDWDLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Heerenveen
LWLDLDWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.80
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almere City attack
1.30goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.80Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.60goals per matchAlmere City conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.20
Match total
19.00
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches321
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%32.7%-1.5 pp
Draw27.2%31.2%+4.0 pp
Away38.6%36.1%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
1.35–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
0-010.0%
0-18.1%
1-27.2%
0-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–5.17
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.3%17.7%–34.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%36.0%–55.2% CI
Away FT29.3%21.2%–38.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away47.5%