Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 15:45
13.4827.0%
X3.6725.6%
21.9947.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
LWDLLDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
For Sittard
LLLDWLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.50
1.80
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.50
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

0.80goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

0.50goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
2.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.00
Match total
20.00

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%25.9%-1.2 pp
Draw25.6%34.1%+8.5 pp
Away47.3%40.0%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.161.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-012.4%
1-112.4%
0-111.2%
2-28.8%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.64
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.2%15.2%–36.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%33.4%–57.5% CI
Away FT30.6%20.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.7%
Away51.6%