Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 15:45
13.4827.0%
X3.6725.6%
21.9947.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
LWDLLDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
For Sittard
LLLDWLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.50
1.80
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.50
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
0.80goals per matchFor Sittard conceded2.10Matchup
For Sittard attack
0.50goals per matchVitesse conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.00
Match total
20.00
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%25.9%-1.2 pp
Draw25.6%34.1%+8.5 pp
Away47.3%40.0%-7.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.16–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-012.4%
1-112.4%
0-111.2%
2-28.8%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–5.64
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.2%15.2%–36.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%33.4%–57.5% CI
Away FT30.6%20.6%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals17.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.7%
Away51.6%