Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 13:30
11.3271.5%
X5.5916.9%
28.1511.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LLDLLWDDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Volendam
DLLWDLDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.90
Against
9.70
11.40
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.60goals per matchVolendam conceded2.20Matchup
Volendam attack
1.20goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
9.70
11.40
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
18.80
Match total
15.20
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.80
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.5%72.7%+1.2 pp
Draw16.9%15.5%-1.4 pp
Away11.6%11.8%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
2.43–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.4%
2-010.9%
3-08.2%
3-16.4%
1-16.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.82–3.55
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.535.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.4%54.3%–85.3% CI
Draw FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Away FT6.9%1.9%–22.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals72.4%
3+ goals41.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.8%
Away44.8%