Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 11:15
12.1344.3%
X3.6925.6%
23.1430.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zwolle
WLLDWLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Heracles
LWLWLLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.40
Against
8.30
8.70
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zwolle attack
1.20goals per matchHeracles conceded1.80Matchup
Heracles attack
1.10goals per matchZwolle conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
8.30
8.70
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
19.50
Match total
19.50
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
5.70
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches206
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%40.8%-3.6 pp
Draw25.6%25.7%+0.1 pp
Away30.1%33.5%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.57–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-09.2%
0-08.7%
2-18.3%
1-17.3%
1-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–4.44
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=206.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.1%24.0%–48.1% CI
Draw FT38.6%27.1%–51.6% CI
Away FT26.3%16.6%–39.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.1%
Away38.6%