Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 11:15
12.1344.3%
X3.6925.6%
23.1430.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Zwolle
WLLDWLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Heracles
LWLWLLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.40
Against
8.30
8.70
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Zwolle attack

1.20goals per match
Heracles conceded1.80
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.10goals per match
Zwolle conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
8.30
8.70
Match total
12.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
19.50
Match total
19.50

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
5.70
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches206
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%40.8%-3.6 pp
Draw25.6%25.7%+0.1 pp
Away30.1%33.5%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.571.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.2%
0-08.7%
2-18.3%
1-17.3%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.44
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=206.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.1%24.0%–48.1% CI
Draw FT38.6%27.1%–51.6% CI
Away FT26.3%16.6%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away38.6%