Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 11:15
13.2828.8%
X3.7825.0%
22.0446.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
DDLWWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LDLDDWDWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.30
Against
4.20
11.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.20goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.80
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.20goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.20
11.60
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
18.50
Match total
20.30

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.50
On target
4.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%29.4%+0.6 pp
Draw25.0%19.0%-5.9 pp
Away46.3%51.6%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.431.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.9%
2-110.3%
1-39.5%
0-26.3%
2-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.495.08
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.7%