Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 19:00
11.5461.3%
X4.4421.2%
25.3917.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
DDDLWWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Zwolle
DLWDDWDLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
2.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.50
Against
8.90
11.40
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.10goals per matchZwolle conceded2.00Matchup
Zwolle attack
1.50goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.50
Corners against
8.90
11.40
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.80
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
18.60
Match total
16.90
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.00
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.3%64.7%+3.4 pp
Draw21.2%13.4%-7.8 pp
Away17.5%21.9%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
2.12–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.4%
1-010.0%
2-09.5%
1-27.0%
4-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.20–4.14
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%39.1%–67.1% CI
Draw FT26.7%16.0%–41.0% CI
Away FT20.0%10.9%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.9%
Away44.4%