Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 11:15
12.7734.1%
X3.5426.6%
22.4039.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
DLLLDLWDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Heerenveen
LLWLDLDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.10
Against
5.80
10.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
2.20
Goals conceded
2.10
3.90
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.70goals per match
Heerenveen conceded2.10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.40goals per match
Heracles conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.80
10.80
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
20.10
Match total
18.00

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.70
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%35.6%+1.6 pp
Draw26.6%29.8%+3.1 pp
Away39.3%34.6%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.381.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
0-010.7%
2-19.3%
1-37.8%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.365.10
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.549.8%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%19.2%–42.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%37.5%–62.5% CI
Away FT20.7%12.3%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.1%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away41.4%