Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 20:00
12.7234.8%
X3.4027.9%
22.5437.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almere City
DDLWDWDLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DWWLWDLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.40
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almere City attack
1.10goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.10Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.40goals per matchAlmere City conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.40
9.90
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.30
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
8.10N=10
24.70
Match total
17.10
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches562
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%32.9%-1.9 pp
Draw27.9%27.0%-0.8 pp
Away37.3%40.0%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS56.9%
Historical average
1.30–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
0-110.9%
1-29.3%
1-09.1%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.05–5.13
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.0%24.5%–38.3% CI
Draw FT35.7%28.9%–43.2% CI
Away FT33.3%26.6%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away56.0%