Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:45
11.2973.4%
X5.7316.5%
29.4210.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WWLWLDLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Waalwijk
LWLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
8.80
9.10
Total
13.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.10goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.80Matchup
Waalwijk attack
0.70goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
8.80
9.10
Match total
13.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.00
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.10N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
17.50
Match total
19.30
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.4%73.9%+0.5 pp
Draw16.5%16.4%-0.1 pp
Away10.1%9.7%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.40–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.4%
2-013.4%
3-011.9%
1-18.2%
4-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.40–3.19
Average total10.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.4%
Over 9.558.2%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.534.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%47.8%–81.4% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT3.7%0.7%–18.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.93
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals63.0%
3+ goals29.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.5%
Away37.0%