Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:30
11.0590.2%
X13.896.8%
231.973.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Vitesse
LLLLLLLWLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
3.20
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.70
Against
6.70
11.30
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
3.20
3.60
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.90goals per matchVitesse conceded3.20Matchup
Vitesse attack
0.70goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.70
11.30
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.10
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
6.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
15.10
Match total
19.50
Shots
23.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
8.70
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home90.2%93.8%+3.5 pp
Draw6.8%6.3%-0.6 pp
Away3.0%0.0%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.581.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS31.3%
Historical average
3.25–0.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-031.3%
3-118.8%
5-012.5%
2-06.3%
1-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.63–2.94
Average total11.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.3%
Over 9.568.8%
Over 10.562.5%
Over 11.543.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away20.0%