Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-12 · 19:00
11.7753.5%
X4.1123.1%
24.0523.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LDLDWDLLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Volendam
LDLLWDLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Against
9.50
10.20
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.20goals per match
Volendam conceded2.00
Matchup

Volendam attack

1.20goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.40
Corners against
9.50
10.20
Match total
13.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.10
Match total
2.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.70N=10
Committed
7.50N=10
15.10
Match total
14.60

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%56.6%+3.0 pp
Draw23.1%25.3%+2.2 pp
Away23.4%18.2%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS65.7%

Historical average

1.931.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
2-115.2%
2-08.1%
1-08.1%
3-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.974.19
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away55.0%