Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 13:30
11.4465.7%
X4.8619.5%
26.4114.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Feyenoord
WWLWDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ajax
LDWWWWLLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.30
0.70
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
2.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
2.20
Against
4.10
11.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.30
0.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
4.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.10goals per match
Ajax conceded2.20
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
Feyenoord conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
2.20
Corners against
4.10
11.90
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.40
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.30N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
15.60
Match total
17.70

Shots

22.70N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
7.00
On target
7.50
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%62.6%-3.1 pp
Draw19.5%25.2%+5.7 pp
Away14.8%12.2%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

2.230.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.8%
2-19.8%
3-09.8%
2-08.9%
1-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.413.66
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.560.2%
Over 10.549.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Away FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.1%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away31.8%