Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 11:15
12.9632.1%
X3.6126.3%
22.2841.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
DLWDLLDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Nijmegen
DWWDDLDWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
7.20
11.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

0.90goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.70
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.00goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.20
11.70
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.90
Match total
18.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.50
On target
5.80
6%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%30.0%-2.0 pp
Draw26.3%33.2%+6.9 pp
Away41.6%36.7%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.251.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
2-18.6%
2-28.6%
0-08.3%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.81
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=312.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%17.3%–34.7% CI
Draw FT44.6%34.8%–54.7% CI
Away FT30.4%22.0%–40.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away53.3%