Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 11:15
12.9632.1%
X3.6126.3%
22.2841.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
DLWDLLDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Nijmegen
DWWDDLDWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
7.20
11.70
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
0.90goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.70Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.00goals per matchVitesse conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.20
11.70
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.90
Match total
18.00
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.50
On target
5.80
6%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%30.0%-2.0 pp
Draw26.3%33.2%+6.9 pp
Away41.6%36.7%-4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
1.25–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
2-18.6%
2-28.6%
0-08.3%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–4.81
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=312.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%17.3%–34.7% CI
Draw FT44.6%34.8%–54.7% CI
Away FT30.4%22.0%–40.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals16.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.5%
Away53.3%