Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 19:00
12.0047.4%
X3.8124.9%
23.4327.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Zwolle
LWLLDWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Excelsior
LDDLLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
2.10
Conceded
3.20
50%
Over 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.10
1.90
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Against
6.90
8.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
2.10
Goals conceded
3.20
3.10
Total goals
4.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Zwolle attack

1.00goals per match
Excelsior conceded3.20
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.30goals per match
Zwolle conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.90
8.00
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
18.80
Match total
15.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%48.9%+1.4 pp
Draw24.9%24.4%-0.5 pp
Away27.7%26.7%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.661.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-013.7%
2-17.6%
0-17.6%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.27
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.3%40.2%–67.8% CI
Draw FT26.1%15.6%–40.3% CI
Away FT19.6%10.7%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.9%
Away43.5%