Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 17:45
11.4465.8%
X4.7420.0%
26.7014.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
DLDLDDWDWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.00
Against
4.10
10.90
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.70goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.20goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.00
Corners against
4.10
10.90
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
15.70
Match total
21.00
Shots
25.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
9.60
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches228
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.8%69.7%+3.9 pp
Draw20.0%21.9%+1.9 pp
Away14.2%8.3%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.33–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.7%
2-09.6%
1-09.2%
0-08.3%
3-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.72–3.46
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=228.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%41.7%–66.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%29.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT5.1%1.7%–13.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals23.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.7%
Away27.1%