Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 17:45
11.4465.8%
X4.7420.0%
26.7014.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
DLDLDDWDWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.00
Against
4.10
10.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.70goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.20goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.00
Corners against
4.10
10.90
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
15.70
Match total
21.00

Shots

25.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
9.60
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches228
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.8%69.7%+3.9 pp
Draw20.0%21.9%+1.9 pp
Away14.2%8.3%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.330.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
2-09.6%
1-09.2%
0-08.3%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.723.46
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=228.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%41.7%–66.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%29.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT5.1%1.7%–13.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals23.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.7%
Away27.1%