Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:30
11.6756.8%
X4.1023.1%
24.7120.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
WLLDLLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Heracles
LLWLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
8.40
11.40
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.70goals per match
Heracles conceded2.00
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.90goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
8.40
11.40
Match total
12.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.50
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
17.60
Match total
18.90

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
6.80
On target
2.10
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches235
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%60.0%+3.2 pp
Draw23.1%23.0%-0.1 pp
Away20.1%17.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

2.031.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.2%
2-011.1%
2-28.9%
1-18.9%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.02
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=235.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI
Draw FT32.5%20.1%–48.0% CI
Away FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals27.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.5%
Away40.0%