Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:30
11.6756.8%
X4.1023.1%
24.7120.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
WLLDLLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Heracles
LLWLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
8.40
11.40
Total
12.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.70goals per matchHeracles conceded2.00Matchup
Heracles attack
0.90goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
8.40
11.40
Match total
12.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.50
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
17.60
Match total
18.90
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
6.80
On target
2.10
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches235
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%60.0%+3.2 pp
Draw23.1%23.0%-0.1 pp
Away20.1%17.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
2.03–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.2%
2-011.1%
2-28.9%
1-18.9%
1-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.93–4.02
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=235.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI
Draw FT32.5%20.1%–48.0% CI
Away FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals27.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.5%
Away40.0%