Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-03 · 17:45
16.8613.8%
X4.6920.1%
21.4366.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
WDLLLDLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WDLDLDDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
2.30
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.70
Against
4.30
10.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.40goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.00
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.40goals per match
Heracles conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.30
10.20
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
20.30
Match total
21.10

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.40
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.8%10.6%-3.2 pp
Draw20.1%19.5%-0.7 pp
Away66.1%69.9%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

0.882.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.8%
0-113.3%
0-29.7%
1-18.8%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.536.36
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Draw FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT54.8%37.8%–70.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals54.8%
3+ goals32.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.9%
Away77.4%