Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 20:00
12.3440.5%
X3.3028.7%
23.0830.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
LDWWWLDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Nijmegen
DDWWDDLDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
7.00
10.70
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.50
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

2.00goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.70
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.00goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.00
10.70
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.20
Match total
18.10

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.30
On target
6.00
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%41.6%+1.1 pp
Draw28.7%29.8%+1.0 pp
Away30.8%28.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.331.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-012.0%
2-19.5%
0-19.1%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.59
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches380
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.4%27.9%–37.2% CI
Draw FT39.5%34.7%–44.5% CI
Away FT28.2%23.9%–32.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away46.1%