Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:00
113.916.8%
X8.5611.1%
21.1682.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Excelsior
WLDLDWDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWDDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
3.10
1.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.70
2.30
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.90
Against
3.70
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
3.10
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Excelsior attack
1.40goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.80Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
3.10goals per matchExcelsior conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.80
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.70
9.80
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.80N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
16.00
Match total
17.50
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
22.60N=10
5.10
On target
8.60
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home6.8%12.5%+5.7 pp
Draw11.1%12.5%+1.4 pp
Away82.0%75.0%-7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.562.5%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
1.13–3.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-512.5%
0-212.5%
2-412.5%
1-212.5%
1-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
2.94–7.00
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.518.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away78.6%