Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:00
113.916.8%
X8.5611.1%
21.1682.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
WLDLDWDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWDDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
3.10
1.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
2.30
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.90
Against
3.70
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
3.10
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.40goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.80
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

3.10goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.80
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.70
9.80
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
2.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
16.00
Match total
17.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
22.60N=10
5.10
On target
8.60
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home6.8%12.5%+5.7 pp
Draw11.1%12.5%+1.4 pp
Away82.0%75.0%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.562.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.133.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-512.5%
0-212.5%
2-412.5%
1-212.5%
1-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.947.00
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away78.6%