Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 11:15
14.4921.1%
X4.1123.0%
21.6955.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Zwolle
LLWLLDWLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Ajax
LLDWWWWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.30
2.10
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
3.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.80
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.30
2.10
Goals conceded
2.50
3.00
Total goals
4.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Zwolle attack

0.90goals per match
Ajax conceded2.50
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
Zwolle conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.00
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
19.00
Match total
17.80

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
4.60
On target
7.60
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.1%22.2%+1.2 pp
Draw23.0%22.2%-0.8 pp
Away55.9%55.6%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS64.4%

Historical average

1.181.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-213.3%
0-111.1%
2-16.7%
1-35.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.92
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away66.7%