Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 19:00
11.5859.9%
X4.3122.0%
25.2118.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Go Ahead Eagles
WDWLLLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Excelsior
DLDDLLLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
2.90
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
1.70
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Against
7.60
11.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
2.90
2.90
Total goals
4.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Go Ahead Eagles attack

1.60goals per match
Excelsior conceded2.90
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.30goals per match
Go Ahead Eagles conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.60
11.80
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.20
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
19.10
Match total
15.20

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
8.20
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%63.0%+3.1 pp
Draw22.0%15.9%-6.1 pp
Away18.2%21.2%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.541.8%
BTTS61.4%

Historical average

2.221.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.6%
1-08.5%
1-18.5%
1-28.5%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.123.95
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT14.7%6.4%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.5%
Away38.2%